(Early Test) Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion# Enhancing Trading Strategies with the Weekly Seasonality Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
Amidst this pursuit to chase price, a common pitfall emerges: an overemphasis on price movements without adequate attention to risk management, probabilistic analysis, and strategic position sizing. To address these challenges, I developed the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator**. It is designed to refocus traders on essential aspects of trading, such as risk management and probabilistic returns, thereby catering to both short-term swing traders and long-term investors aiming for tax-efficient positions.
## The Motivation Behind the Indicator
### Overemphasis on Price: A Common Trading Pitfall
Many traders concentrate heavily on price charts and technical indicators, often neglecting the underlying principles of risk management and probabilistic analysis. This overemphasis on price can lead to:
- **Overtrading:** Making frequent trades based solely on price movements without considering the associated risks.
- **Poor Risk Management:** Failing to set appropriate stop-loss levels or position sizes, increasing the potential for significant losses.
- **Emotional Trading:** Letting emotions drive trading decisions rather than objective analysis, which can result in impulsive and irrational trades.
### The Need for Balanced Focus
To achieve sustained trading success, it is crucial to balance price analysis with robust risk management and probabilistic strategies. Key areas of focus include:
1. **Risk Management:** Implementing strategies to protect capital, such as setting stop-loss orders and determining appropriate position sizes based on risk tolerance.
2. **Probabilistic Analysis:** Assessing the likelihood of various market outcomes to make informed trading decisions.
3. **Swing Trading Percent Returns:** Capitalizing on short- to medium-term price movements by buying assets below their average return and selling them above.
## Introducing the Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
The **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** is designed to integrate these essential elements into a comprehensive tool that aids traders in making informed, risk-aware decisions. Below, we explore the key components and functionalities of this indicator.
### Key Components of the Indicator
1. **Average Return (%)**
- **Definition:** The mean percentage return for each week across multiple years.
- **Purpose:** Serves as a benchmark to identify weeks with above or below-average performance, guiding buy and sell decisions.
2. **Positive Percentage (%)**
- **Definition:** The proportion of weeks that yielded positive returns.
- **Purpose:** Indicates the consistency of positive returns, helping traders gauge the reliability of certain weeks for trading.
3. **Volatility (%)**
- **Definition:** The standard deviation of weekly returns.
- **Purpose:** Measures the variability of returns, providing insights into the risk associated with trading during specific weeks.
4. **Kelly Ratio**
- **Definition:** A mathematical formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the logarithmic growth of capital.
- **Purpose:** Balances potential returns against risks, guiding traders on the appropriate position size to take.
5. **Adjusted Kelly Fraction**
- **Definition:** The Kelly Ratio adjusted based on user-defined risk tolerance and external factors like Federal Reserve (Fed) stance.
- **Purpose:** Personalizes the Kelly Criterion to align with individual risk preferences and market conditions, enhancing risk management.
6. **Position Size ($)**
- **Definition:** The calculated amount to invest based on the Adjusted Kelly Fraction.
- **Purpose:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with risk management strategies, preventing overexposure to any single trade.
7. **Max Drawdown (%)**
- **Definition:** The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained.
- **Purpose:** Assesses the worst-case scenario for losses, crucial for understanding potential capital erosion.
### Functionality and Benefits
- **Weekly Data Aggregation:** Aggregates weekly returns across multiple years to provide a robust statistical foundation for decision-making.
- **Quarterly Filtering:** Allows users to filter weeks based on quarters, enabling seasonality analysis and tailored strategies aligned with specific timeframes.
- **Dynamic Risk Adjustment:** Incorporates the Dynamic Kelly Criterion to adjust position sizes in real-time based on changing risk profiles and market conditions.
- **User-Friendly Visualization:** Presents all essential metrics in an organized Summary Table, facilitating quick and informed decision-making.
## The Origin of the Kelly Criterion and Addressing Its Limitations
### Understanding the Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. in 1956, is a formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the long-term growth of capital. The formula considers both the probability of winning and the payout ratio, balancing potential returns against the risk of loss.
**Kelly Formula:**
\
Where:
- \( b \) = the net odds received on the wager ("b to 1")
- \( p \) = probability of winning
- \( q \) = probability of losing ( \( q = 1 - p \) )
### The Risk of Ruin
While the Kelly Criterion is effective in optimizing growth, it carries inherent risks:
- **Overbetting:** If the input probabilities or payout ratios are misestimated, the Kelly Criterion can suggest overly aggressive position sizes, leading to significant losses.
- **Assumption of Constant Probabilities:** The criterion assumes that probabilities remain constant, which is rarely the case in dynamic markets.
- **Ignoring External Factors:** Traditional Kelly implementations do not account for external factors such as Federal Reserve rates, margin requirements, or market volatility, which can impact risk and returns.
### Addressing Traditional Limitations
Recognizing these limitations, the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** introduces enhancements to the traditional Kelly approach:
- **Incorporation of Fed Stance:** Adjusts the Kelly Fraction based on the current stance of the Federal Reserve (neutral, dovish, or hawkish), reflecting broader economic conditions that influence market behavior.
- **Margin and Leverage Considerations:** Accounts for margin rates and leverage, ensuring that position sizes remain within manageable risk parameters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Continuously updates position sizes based on real-time risk assessments and probabilistic analyses, mitigating the risk of ruin associated with static Kelly implementations.
## How the Indicator Aids Traders
### For Short-Term Swing Traders
Short-term swing traders thrive on capitalizing over weekly price movements. The indicator aids them by:
- **Identifying Favorable Weeks:** Highlights weeks with above-average returns and favorable volatility, guiding entry and exit points.
- **Optimal Position Sizing:** Utilizes the Adjusted Kelly Fraction to determine the optimal amount to invest, balancing potential returns with risk exposure.
- **Probabilistic Insights:** Provides metrics like Positive Percentage (%) and Kelly Ratio to assess the likelihood of favorable outcomes, enhancing decision-making.
### For Long-Term Tax-Free Investors
This is effectively a drop-in replacement for DCA which uses fixed position size that doesn't change based on market conditions, as a result, it's like catching multiple falling knifes by the blade and smiling with blood on your hand... I don't know about you, but I'd rather juggle by the hilt and look like an actual professional...
Long-term investors, especially those seeking tax-free positions (e.g., through retirement accounts), benefit from:
- **Consistent Risk Management:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with long-term capital preservation strategies.
- **Seasonality Analysis:** Allows for strategic positioning based on historical performance trends across different weeks and quarters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Adapts to changing market conditions, maintaining optimal risk profiles over extended investment horizons.
### Developers
Please double check the logic and functionality because I think there are a few issue and I need to crowd source solutions and be responsible about the code I publish. If you have corrections, please DM me or leave a respectful comment.
I want to publish this by the end of the year and include other things like highlighting triple witching weeks, adding columns for volume % stats, VaR and CVaR, alpha, beta (to see the seasonal alpha and beta based off a benchmark ticker and risk free rate ticker and other little goodies.
Cerca negli script per "swing trading"
Burst PowerThe Burst Power indicator is to be used for Indian markets where most stocks have a maximum price band limit of 20%.
This indicator is intended to identify stocks with high potential for significant price movements. By analysing historical price action over a user-defined lookback period, it calculates a Burst Power score that reflects the stock's propensity for rapid and substantial moves. This can be helpful for stock selection in strategies involving momentum bursts, swing trading, or identifying stocks with explosive potential.
Key Components
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Significant Move Counts:
5% Moves: Counts the number of days within the lookback period where the stock had a positive close-to-close move between 5% and 10%.
10% Moves: Counts the number of days with a positive close-to-close move between 10% and 19%.
19% Moves: Counts the number of days with a positive close-to-close move of 19% or more.
Maximum Price Move (%):
Identifies the largest positive close-to-close percentage move within the lookback period, along with the date it occurred.
Burst Power Score:
A composite score calculated using the counts of significant moves: Burst Power =(Count5%/5) +(Count10%/2) + (Count19%/0.5)
The score is then rounded to the nearest whole number.
A higher Burst Power score indicates a higher frequency of significant price bursts.
Visual Indicators:
Table Display: Presents all the calculated data in a customisable table on the chart.
Markers on Chart: Plots markers on the chart where significant moves occurred, aiding visual analysis.
Using the Lookback Period
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The lookback period determines how much historical data the indicator analyses. Users can select from predefined options:
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year
3 Years
5 Years
A shorter lookback period focuses on recent price action, which may be more relevant for short-term trading strategies. A longer lookback period provides a broader historical context, useful for identifying long-term patterns and behaviors.
Interpreting the Burst Power Score
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High Burst Power Score (≥15):
Indicates the stock frequently experiences significant price moves.
Suitable for traders seeking quick momentum bursts and swing trading opportunities.
Stocks with high scores may be more volatile but offer potential for rapid gains.
Moderate Burst Power Score (10 to 14):
Suggests occasional significant price movements.
May suit traders looking for a balance between volatility and stability.
Low Burst Power Score (<10):
Reflects fewer significant price bursts.
Stocks are more likely to exhibit longer, sustainable, but slower price trends.
May be preferred by traders focusing on steady growth or longer-term investments.
Note: Trading involves uncertainties, and the Burst Power score should be considered as one of many factors in a comprehensive trading strategy. It is essential to incorporate broader market analysis and risk management practices.
Customisation Options
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The indicator offers several customisation settings to tailor the display and functionality to individual preferences:
Display Mode:
Full Mode: Shows the detailed table with all components, including significant move counts, maximum price move, and the Burst Power score.
Mini Mode: Displays only the Burst Power score and its corresponding indicator (green, orange, or red circle).
Show Latest Date Column:
Toggle the display of the "Latest Date" column in the table, which shows the most recent occurrence of each significant move category.
Theme (Dark Mode):
Switch between Dark Mode and Light Mode for better visual integration with your chart's color scheme.
Table Position and Size:
Position: Place the table at various locations on the chart (top, middle, bottom; left, center, right).
Size: Adjust the table's text size (tiny, small, normal, large, huge, auto) for optimal readability.
Header Size: Customise the font size of the table headers (Small, Medium, Large).
Color Settings:
Disable Colors in Table: Option to display the table without background colors, which can be useful for printing or if colors are distracting.
Bullish Closing Filter:
Another customisation here is to count a move only when the closing for the day is strong. For this, we have an additional filter to see if close is within the chosen % of the range of the day. Closing within the top 1/3, for instance, indicates a way more bullish day tha, say, closing within the bottom 25%.
Move Markers on chart:
The indicator also marks out days with significant moves. You can choose to hide or show the markers on the candles/bars.
Practical Applications
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Momentum Trading: High Burst Power scores can help identify stocks that are likely to experience rapid price movements, suitable for momentum traders.
Swing Trading: Traders looking for short- to medium-term opportunities may focus on stocks with moderate to high Burst Power scores.
Positional Trading: Lower Burst Power scores may indicate steadier stocks that are less prone to volatility, aligning with long-term investment strategies.
Risk Management: Understanding a stock's propensity for significant moves can aid in setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The Burst Power indicator is intended for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
MENTFX AVERAGES MULTI TIMEFRAMEThe MENTFX AVERAGES MULTIME TIMEFRAME indicator is designed to provide traders with the ability to visualize multiple moving averages (MAs) from higher timeframes on their current chart, regardless of the chart's timeframe. It combines the power of exponential moving averages (EMAs) to help traders identify trends, spot potential reversal points, and make more informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
Multi-Timeframe Moving Averages: This indicator plots moving averages from daily timeframes directly on your chart, helping you keep track of higher timeframe trends while trading in any timeframe.
Customizable Moving Averages: You can adjust the length and visibility of up to three EMAs (default settings are 5, 10, and 20-period EMAs) to suit your trading style.
Overlay on Price: The indicator is designed to be overlaid on your price chart, seamlessly integrating with your existing analysis.
Simple but Effective: By offering a clear visual guide to where price is trading relative to important higher timeframe levels, this indicator helps traders avoid trading against major trends.
Why It’s Unique:
Validation Timeframe Flexibility: Unlike traditional moving average indicators that only work within the same chart's timeframe, the MENTFX AVERAGES M indicator allows you to pull moving averages from higher timeframes (default: Daily) and overlay them on any chart you're currently viewing, whether it's intraday (minutes) or even weekly. This cross-timeframe visibility is critical in determining the true market trend, adding context to your trades.
Customizability: Although the default settings focus on daily EMAs (5, 10, and 20 periods), traders can modify the parameters, including the type of moving average (Simple, Weighted, etc.), making it adaptable for any strategy. Whether you want shorter-term or longer-term averages, this indicator covers your needs.
Trend Confirmation Tool: The use of multiple EMAs helps traders confirm trend direction and potential price breakouts or reversals. For example, when the shorter-term 5 EMA crosses above the 20 EMA, it can signal a potential bullish trend, while the opposite could indicate bearish pressure.
How This Indicator Helps:
Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels: Higher timeframe moving averages often act as dynamic support and resistance. This indicator helps you stay aware of those critical levels, even when trading lower timeframes.
Trend Identification: Knowing where the market is relative to the 5, 10, and 20 EMAs from a higher timeframe gives you a clearer picture of whether you're trading with or against the prevailing trend.
Improved Decision Making: By aligning your trades with the direction of higher timeframe trends, you can increase your confidence in trade entries and exits, avoiding low-probability setups.
Multi-Market Use: This indicator works well across various asset classes—stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities—making it versatile for any trader.
How to Use:
Intraday Trading: Use the daily EMAs as a guide to see if intraday price movements align with longer-term trends.
Swing Trading: Plot daily EMAs to track the strength of a larger trend, using pullbacks to the moving averages as potential entry points.
Trend Trading: Monitor crossovers between the moving averages to signal potential changes in trend direction.
Default Settings:
5 EMA (Daily) – Blue Line
10 EMA (Daily) – Black Line
20 EMA (Daily) – Red Line
These lines will plot on your chart with a subtle opacity (33%) to ensure they don’t obstruct price action, while still providing crucial visual guidance on market trends.
This indicator is perfect for traders who want to blend technical analysis with multi-timeframe insights, helping you stay in sync with broader market movements while executing trades on any timeframe.
S&R Precision Cloud by Dr. Abiram Sivprasad -4 directional biasDescription of the Script
**Script Name:** S&R Precision Cloud by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad
**Overview:**
This script is designed to identify key support and resistance levels using the Central Pivot Range (CPR) methodology along with daily, weekly, and monthly pivots. It incorporates the Lagging Span from the Ichimoku Cloud to enhance decision-making in trading strategies for intraday, swing, and long-term positions mainly for directional bias.
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### Key Components:
1. **Central Pivot Range (CPR):**
- **Central Pivot (CP):** Calculated as the average of the high, low, and close prices. This serves as a reference point for price action.
- **Below Central Pivot (BC) and Top Central Pivot (TC):** Derived to create a range that aids in identifying support and resistance levels.
2. **Support and Resistance Levels:**
- The script computes three support (S1, S2, S3) and resistance (R1, R2, R3) levels based on the Central Pivot.
- These levels are plotted for daily, weekly, and monthly time frames, providing traders with multiple reference points.
3. **Lagging Span:**
- The Lagging Span is plotted as the closing price shifted backward by 26 periods (as per Ichimoku settings).
- This serves as a filter for trade entries, where positions should only be taken in the direction opposite to where the price is relative to this line.
4. **User Inputs:**
- The script allows customization through checkboxes to plot daily, weekly, and monthly support and resistance levels as needed.
- Users can choose whether to display CPR and various support/resistance levels for better visual clarity.
5. **Color Coding:**
- The support and resistance lines are color-coded to distinguish between different levels (green for support, red for resistance, and blue for pivots).
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### Trading Strategies:
- **Intraday Trading:**
- Utilize price movements around the Lagging Span and support/resistance levels for quick trades.
- **Swing Trading:**
- Identify potential reversal points at S2 and R2 levels, confirmed by divergences in price movement.
- **Long-Term Trading:**
- Monitor price behavior against the Lagging Span and significant pivot levels to capture longer trends.
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### Summary:
This script equips traders with essential tools for technical analysis by clearly defining critical price levels and incorporating the Lagging Span for directional bias. It is suitable for various trading styles, including intraday, swing, and long-term strategies, making it a versatile addition to any trader’s toolkit.
PERFECT PIVOT RANGE DR ABIRAM SIVPRASAD (PPR)PERFECT PIVOT RANGE (PPR) by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad
The Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of key support and resistance levels based on pivot points across different timeframes. This versatile tool allows users to visualize daily, weekly, and monthly pivots along with high and low levels from previous periods, helping traders identify potential areas of price reversals or breakouts.
Features:
Multi-Timeframe Pivots:
Daily, weekly, and monthly pivot levels (Pivot Point, Support 1 & 2, Resistance 1 & 2).
Helps traders understand price levels across various timeframes, from short-term (daily) to long-term (monthly).
Previous High-Low Levels:
Displays the previous week, month, and day high-low levels to highlight key zones of historical support and resistance.
Traders can easily see areas of price action from prior periods, giving context for future price movements.
Customizable Options:
Users can choose which pivot levels and high-lows to display, allowing for flexibility based on trading preferences.
Visual settings can be toggled on and off to suit different trading strategies and timeframes.
Real-Time Data:
All pivot points and levels are dynamically calculated based on real-time price data, ensuring accurate and up-to-date information for decision-making.
How to Use:
Pivot Points: Use daily, weekly, or monthly pivot points to find potential support or resistance levels. Prices above the pivot suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below indicate bearishness.
Previous High-Low: The high-low levels from previous days, weeks, or months can serve as critical zones where price may reverse or break through, indicating potential trade entries or exits.
Confluence: When pivot points or high-low levels overlap across multiple timeframes, they become even stronger levels of support or resistance.
This indicator is suitable for all types of traders (scalpers, swing traders, and long-term investors) looking to enhance their technical analysis and make more informed trading decisions.
Here are three detailed trading strategies for using the Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator for options, stocks, and commodities:
1. Options Buying Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Buying Call and Put Options Based on Pivot Breakouts
Objective: To capitalize on sharp price movements when key pivot levels are breached, leading to high returns with limited risk in options trading.
Timeframe: 15-minute to 1-hour chart for intraday option trading.
Steps:
Identify the Key Levels:
Use weekly pivots for intraday trading, as they provide more significant levels for options.
Enable the "Previous Week High-Low" to gauge support and resistance from the previous week.
Call Option Setup (Bullish Breakout):
Condition: If the price breaks above the weekly pivot point (PP) with high momentum (indicated by a strong bullish candle), it signifies potential bullishness.
Action: Buy Call Options at the breakout of the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Check if the price is sustaining above the pivot with a minimum of 1-2 candles (depending on timeframe) and the first resistance (R1) isn’t too far away.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous week’s high can be your target for exiting the trade.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the pivot point (PP) to limit risk.
Put Option Setup (Bearish Breakdown):
Condition: If the price breaks below the weekly pivot (PP) with strong bearish momentum, it’s a signal to expect a downward move.
Action: Buy Put Options on a breakdown below the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Ensure that the price is closing below the pivot, and check for declining volumes or bearish candles.
Target: The first support (S1) or the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just above the pivot point (PP).
Example:
Let’s say the weekly pivot point (PP) is at 1500, the price breaks above and sustains at 1510. You buy a Call Option with a strike price near 1500, and the target will be the first resistance (R1) at 1530.
2. Stock Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Swing Trading Using Pivot Points and Previous High-Low Levels
Objective: To capture mid-term stock price movements using pivot points and historical high-low levels for better trade entries and exits.
Timeframe: 1-day or 4-hour chart for swing trading.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Start by determining the overall trend of the stock using the weekly pivots. If the price is consistently above the pivot point (PP), the trend is bullish; if below, the trend is bearish.
Buy Setup (Bullish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the stock bounces off the weekly pivot point (PP) or previous week’s low, it signals a bullish reversal.
Action: Enter a long position near the pivot or previous week’s low.
Confirmation: Look for a bullish candle pattern or increasing volumes.
Target: Set your first target at the first resistance (R1) or the previous week’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just below the previous week’s low or support (S1).
Sell Setup (Bearish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the price hits the weekly resistance (R1) or previous week’s high and starts to reverse downwards, it’s an opportunity to short-sell the stock.
Action: Enter a short position near the resistance.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volume at the resistance.
Target: Your first target would be the weekly pivot point (PP), with the second target as the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just above the resistance (R1).
Use Previous High-Low Levels:
The previous week’s high and low are key levels where price reversals often occur, so use them as reference points for potential entry and exit.
Example:
Stock XYZ is trading at 200. The previous week’s low is 195, and it bounces off that level. You enter a long position with a target of 210 (previous week’s high) and place a stop-loss at 193.
3. Commodity Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Trend Continuation and Reversal in Commodities
Objective: To capitalize on the strong trends in commodities by using pivot points as key support and resistance levels for trend continuation and reversal.
Timeframe: 1-hour to 4-hour charts for commodities like Gold, Crude Oil, Silver, etc.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Use monthly pivots for long-term commodities trading since commodities often follow macroeconomic trends.
The monthly pivot point (PP) will give an idea of the long-term trend direction.
Trend Continuation Setup (Bullish Commodity):
Condition: If the price is consistently trading above the monthly pivot and pulling back towards the pivot without breaking below it, it indicates a bullish continuation.
Action: Enter a long position when the price tests the monthly pivot (PP) and starts moving up again.
Confirmation: Look for a strong bullish candle or an increase in volume to confirm the continuation.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous month’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the monthly pivot (PP).
Trend Reversal Setup (Bearish Commodity):
Condition: When the price reverses from the monthly resistance (R1) or previous month’s high, it’s a signal for a bearish reversal.
Action: Enter a short position at the resistance level.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volumes at the resistance.
Target: Set your first target as the monthly pivot (PP) or the first support (S1).
Stop-Loss: Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance level.
Using Previous High-Low for Swing Trades:
The previous month’s high and low are important in commodities. They often act as barriers to price movement, so traders should look for breakouts or reversals near these levels.
Example:
Gold is trading at $1800, with a monthly pivot at $1780 and the previous month’s high at $1830. If the price pulls back to $1780 and starts moving up again, you enter a long trade with a target of $1830, placing your stop-loss below $1770.
Key Points Across All Strategies:
Multiple Timeframes: Always use a combination of timeframes for confirmation. For example, a daily chart may show a bullish setup, but the weekly pivot levels can provide a larger trend context.
Volume: Volume is key in confirming the strength of price movement. Always confirm breakouts or reversals with rising or declining volume.
Risk Management: Set tight stop-loss levels just below support or above resistance to minimize risk and lock in profits at pivot points.
Each of these strategies leverages the powerful pivot and high-low levels provided by the PPR indicator to give traders clear entry, exit, and risk management points across different markets
FiboTrace.V33FiboTrace.V33 - Advanced Fibonacci Retracement Indicator is a powerful and visually intuitive Fibonacci retracement indicator designed to help traders identify key support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes. Whether you’re a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, FiboTrace.V33 provides the essential tools needed to spot potential price reversals and continuations with precision.
Key Features:
• Dynamic Fibonacci Levels: Automatically plots the most relevant Fibonacci retracement levels based on recent swing highs and lows, ensuring you always have the most accurate and up-to-date levels on your chart.
• Gradient Color Zones: Easily distinguish between different Fibonacci levels with visually appealing gradient color fills. These zones help you quickly identify key areas of price interaction, making your analysis more efficient.
• Customizable Levels: Tailor FiboTrace.V33 to your trading style by adjusting the Fibonacci levels and colors to match your preferences. This flexibility allows you to focus on the levels most relevant to your strategy.
• Multi-Timeframe Versatility: Works seamlessly across all timeframes, from 1-minute charts for day traders to weekly and monthly charts for long-term investors. The indicator adapts to your trading horizon, providing reliable signals in any market environment.
• Confluence Alerts: Receive alerts when price enters zones where multiple Fibonacci levels overlap, indicating strong support or resistance. This feature helps you catch high-probability trade setups without constantly monitoring the charts.
How to Use:
• Identify Entry and Exit Points: Use the plotted Fibonacci levels to determine potential entry and exit points. Price retracements to key Fibonacci levels can signal opportunities to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend.
• Spot Reversals and Continuations: Watch for price action around the gradient color zones. A bounce off a Fibonacci level may indicate a trend continuation, while a break could signal a potential reversal.
• Combine with Other Indicators: For best results, consider using FiboTrace.V33 in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, to confirm signals and enhance your trading strategy.
Timeframe Recommendations:
• Shorter Timeframes (1-minute to 1-hour): Ideal for quick, intraday trades, though signals might be more prone to noise due to rapid market fluctuations.
• Medium Timeframes (4-hour to daily): Perfect for swing trading, offering more reliable Fibonacci levels that capture broader market trends.
• Longer Timeframes (weekly to monthly): Best for long-term investors, where Fibonacci levels act as strong support and resistance based on significant market moves.
• General Tip: Fibonacci retracement levels are more reliable on higher timeframes, but combining them with other indicators like moving averages or RSI can enhance signal accuracy across any timeframe.
Why FiboTrace.V33?
FiboTrace.V33 is more than just a Fibonacci retracement tool—it’s an essential part of any trader’s toolkit. Its intuitive design and advanced features help you stay ahead of the market, making it easier to identify high-probability trading opportunities and manage risk effectively.
Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator
Title: Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator (DPVO)
### Overview
The "Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator" (DPVO) is an advanced trading tool designed to enhance market analysis by integrating volume data with price action. This indicator is specially developed to provide traders with deeper insights into market dynamics, making it easier to spot potential entry and exit points based on volume and price interactions. The DPVO stands out by offering a sophisticated approach to traditional volume analysis, setting it apart from typical volume indicators available on the TradingView platform.
### Unique Features
Unlike traditional indicators that analyze volume and price movements separately, the DPVO combines these two critical elements to offer a comprehensive view of market behavior. By calculating the Volume Impact, which involves the product of the exponential moving averages (EMAs) of volume and the price range (close - open), this indicator highlights significant trading activities that could indicate strong buying or selling pressure. This method allows traders to see not just the volume spikes, but how those spikes relate to price movements, providing a clearer picture of market sentiment.
### Customization and Inputs
The DPVO is highly customizable, catering to various trading styles and strategies:
- **Oscillator Length (`oscLength`)**: Adjusts the period over which the volume and price difference is analyzed, allowing traders to set it according to their trading timeframe.
- **Fast and Slow Moving Averages (`fastMA` and `slowMA`)**: These parameters control the responsiveness of the DPVO. A shorter `fastMA` coupled with a longer `slowMA` can help in identifying trends quicker or smoothing out market noise for more conservative approaches.
- **Signal Smoothing (`signalSmooth`)**: This input helps in reducing signal noise, making the crossover and crossunder points between the DVO and its smoothed signal line clearer and easier to interpret.
### Functionality Details
The DPVO operates through a sequence of calculated steps that integrate volume data with price movement:
1. **Volume Impact Calculation**: This is the foundational step where the product of the EMA of volume and the EMA of price range (close - open) is calculated. This metric highlights trading sessions where significant volume accompanies substantial price movements, suggesting a strong market response.
2. **Dynamic Volume Oscillator (DVO)**: The heart of the indicator, the DVO, is derived by calculating the difference between the fast EMA and the slow EMA of the Volume Impact. This result is then normalized by dividing by the EMA of the volume over the same period to scale the output, making it consistent across various trading environments.
3. **Signal Generation**: The final output is smoothed using a simple moving average of the DVO to filter out market noise. Buy and sell signals are generated based on the crossover and crossunder of the DVO with its smoothed version, providing clear cues for market entry or exit.
### Originality
The DPVO's originality lies in its innovative integration of volume and price movement, a novel approach not typically observed in other volume indicators. By analyzing the product of volume and price change EMAs, the DPVO captures the essence of market dynamics more holistically than traditional tools, which often only reflect volume levels without contextualizing them with price actions. This dual analysis provides traders with a deeper understanding of market forces, enabling them to make more informed decisions based on a combination of volume surges and significant price movements. The DPVO also introduces a unique normalization and smoothing technique that refines the oscillator's output, offering cleaner and more reliable signals that are adaptable to various market conditions and trading styles.
### Practical Application
The DPVO excels in environments where volume plays a crucial role in validating price movements. Traders can utilize the buy and sell signals generated by the DPVO to enhance their decision-making process. The signals are plotted directly on the trading chart, with buy signals appearing below the price bars and sell signals above, ensuring they are prominent and actionable. This setup is particularly useful for day traders and swing traders who rely on timely and accurate signals to maximize their trading opportunities.
### Best Practices
To maximize the effectiveness of the DPVO, traders should consider the following best practices:
- **Market Selection**: Use the DPVO in markets known for strong volume-price correlation such as major forex pairs, popular stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
- **Signal Confirmation**: While the DPVO provides powerful signals, confirming these signals with additional indicators such as RSI or MACD can increase trade reliability.
- **Risk Management**: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risks associated with trading signals. Adjust the position size based on the volatility of the asset to avoid significant losses.
### Practical Example + How to use it
Practical Example1: Day Trading Cryptocurrencies
For a day trader focusing on the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, the DPVO can be an effective tool on a 15-minute chart. Suppose a trader is monitoring Bitcoin (BTC) during a period of high market activity. The DPVO might show an upward crossover of the DVO above its smoothed signal line while also indicating a significant increase in volume. This could signal that strong buying pressure is entering the market, suggesting a potential short-term rally. The trader could enter a long position based on this signal, setting a stop-loss just below the recent support level to manage risk. If the DPVO later shows a crossover in the opposite direction with decreasing volume, it might signal a good exit point, allowing the trader to lock in profits before a potential pullback.
- **Swing Trading Stocks**: For a swing trader looking at stocks, the DPVO could be applied on a daily chart. If the oscillator shows a consistent downward trend along with increasing volume, this could suggest a potential sell-off, providing a sell signal before a significant downturn.
You can look for:
--> Increase in volume - You can use indicators like 24-hour-Volume to have a better visualization
--> Uptrend/Downtrend in the indicator (HH, HL, LL, LH)
--> Confirmation (Buy signal/Sell signal)
--> Correct Price action (Not too steep moves up or down. Stable moves.) (Optional)
--> Confirmation with other indicators (Optional)
Quick image showing you an example of a buy signal on SOLANA:
### Technical Notes
- **Calculation Efficiency**: The DPVO utilizes exponential moving averages (EMAs) in its calculations, which provides a balance between responsiveness and smoothing. EMAs are favored over simple moving averages in this context because they give more weight to recent data, making the indicator more sensitive to recent market changes.
- **Normalization**: The normalization of the DVO by the EMA of the volume ensures that the oscillator remains consistent across different assets and timeframes. This means the indicator can be used on a wide variety of markets without needing significant adjustments, making it a versatile tool for traders.
- **Signal Line Smoothing**: The final signal line is smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise. The choice of SMA for smoothing, as opposed to EMA, is intentional to provide a more stable signal that is less prone to frequent whipsaws, which can occur in highly volatile markets.
- **Lag and Sensitivity**: Like all moving average-based indicators, the DPVO may introduce a slight lag in signal generation. However, this is offset by the indicator’s ability to filter out market noise, making it a reliable tool for identifying genuine trends and reversals. Adjusting the `fastMA`, `slowMA`, and `signalSmooth` inputs allows traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the DPVO to match their specific trading strategy and market conditions.
- **Platform Compatibility**: The DPVO is written in Pine Script™ v5, ensuring compatibility with the latest features and functionalities offered by TradingView. This version takes advantage of optimized functions for performance and accuracy in calculations, making it well-suited for real-time analysis.
Conclusion
The "Uptrick: Dual Moving Average Volume Oscillator" is a revolutionary tool that merges volume analysis with price movement to offer traders a more nuanced understanding of market trends and reversals. Its ability to provide clear, actionable signals based on a unique combination of volume and price changes makes it an invaluable addition to any trader's toolkit. Whether you are managing long-term positions or looking for quick trades, the DPVO provides insights that can help refine any trading strategy, making it a standout choice in the crowded field of technical indicators.
Nothing from this indicator or any other Uptrick Indicators is financial advice. Only you are ultimately responsible for your choices.
Modern Trend IdentifierThis is an update by Lightangel112 to Trendilo (Open-Source).
Thanks @ Lightangel112
The Modern Trend Identifier (MTI) is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed for traders and analysts seeking to accurately determine market trends. This indicator leverages the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) to smooth price data and calculate percentage changes, providing a clearer and more responsive trend analysis. MTI is engineered to highlight trend direction with visual cues, fill areas between the indicator and its bands, and color bars based on trend direction, making it a powerful tool for identifying market momentum and potential reversals.
Capabilities
Smoothing and Trend Calculation:
Utilizes ALMA to smooth price data, reducing noise and providing a clearer view of the trend.
Calculates percentage changes in price over a user-defined lookback period.
Dynamic Range Adjustment:
Normalizes the ALMA percentage change values to ensure they stay within a -100 to 100 range.
Uses a combination of linear and smoothstep compression to handle extreme values without losing sensitivity.
Trend Direction and Highlighting:
Determines the trend direction based on the relationship between the smoothed ALMA percentage change and dynamically adjusted RMS (Root Mean Square) bands.
Colors the trend line to visually indicate whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or neutral state.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
Calculates dynamic thresholds using percentile ranks to adapt to changing market conditions.
Visualization Enhancements:
Fills areas between the ALMA percentage change line and its RMS bands to provide a clear visual indication of the trend strength.
Offers the option to color price bars based on the identified trend direction.
Customizable Settings:
Provides extensive customization options for lookback periods, smoothing parameters, ALMA settings, band multipliers, and more.
Allows users to enable or disable various visual enhancements and customize their appearance.
Use Cases
Trend Identification:
MTI helps traders identify the current market trend, whether it's bullish, bearish, or neutral. This can be particularly useful for trend-following strategies.
Momentum Analysis:
By highlighting areas of strong momentum, MTI enables traders to spot potential breakouts or breakdowns. This can be useful for both entry and exit decisions.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The dynamic threshold bands can act as support and resistance levels. Traders can use these levels to set stop-loss and take-profit orders.
Divergence Detection:
MTI can help in identifying divergences between price and the indicator, which can signal potential trend reversals. This is useful for traders looking to capitalize on trend changes.
Risk Management:
The fill areas and colored bars provide clear visual cues about trend strength and direction, aiding in better risk management. Traders can adjust their positions based on the strength of the trend.
Backtesting:
The extensive customization options allow traders to backtest different settings and parameters to optimize their trading strategies for various market conditions.
Multiple Timeframes:
MTI can be applied to multiple timeframes, from intraday charts to daily, weekly, or monthly charts, making it a versatile tool for traders with different trading styles.
Example Scenarios
Day Trading:
A day trader can use MTI on a 5-minute chart to identify intraday trends. By adjusting the lookback period and smoothing parameters, the trader can quickly spot potential entry and exit points based on short-term momentum changes.
Swing Trading:
A swing trader might apply MTI to a 4-hour chart to identify medium-term trends. The dynamic thresholds can help in setting appropriate stop-loss levels, while the trend direction highlighting aids in making informed decisions about holding or exiting positions.
Position Trading:
For a position trader using a daily chart, MTI can help identify the overarching trend. The trader can use the fill areas and bar coloring to assess the strength of the trend and make decisions about entering or exiting long-term positions.
Market Analysis:
An analyst could use MTI to study historical price movements and identify patterns. By examining how the indicator reacted to past market conditions, the analyst can gain insights into potential future price movements.
In summary, the Modern Trend Identifier (MTI) is a versatile and powerful tool that enhances trend analysis with advanced smoothing techniques, dynamic adjustments, and comprehensive visual cues. It is designed to meet the needs of traders and analysts across various trading styles and timeframes, providing clear and actionable insights into market trends and momentum.
Updated with the following:
Additions and Enhancements in MTI
Grouped Inputs with Descriptive Tooltips:
Inputs are organized into groups for better clarity.
Each input parameter includes a descriptive tooltip.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
Added dynamic threshold calculation using percentile ranks to adapt to changing market conditions.
Normalization and Compression:
Added normalization factor to ensure plots are within -100 to 100 range.
Introduced smoothstep function for smooth transition and selectively applied linear and smoothstep compression to values outside -80 to 100 range.
Enhanced Visualization:
Highlighted trend direction with RGB colors.
Enhanced fill areas between the ALMA percentage change line and its RMS bands.
Colored price bars based on the identified trend direction.
RMS Lines Adjustment:
Dynamically adjusted RMS calculation without strict capping.
Ensured RMS lines stay below fill areas to maintain clarity.
Descriptive and Organized Code:
Enhanced code clarity with detailed comments.
Organized code into logical sections for better readability and maintenance.
Key Differences and Improvements.
Input Customization:
Trendilo: Inputs are simple and ungrouped.
MTI: Inputs are grouped and include tooltips for better user guidance.
Trend Calculation:
Trendilo: Uses ALMA and calculates percentage change.
MTI: Enhanced with normalization, compression, and dynamic threshold calculation.
Normalization and Compression:
Trendilo: No normalization or compression applied.
MTI: Normalizes values to -100 to 100 range and applies smoothstep compression to handle extreme values.
Dynamic RMS Adjustment:
Trendilo: Simple RMS calculation.
MTI: Dynamically adjusted RMS calculation to ensure clarity in visualization.
Visual Enhancements:
Trendilo: Basic trend highlighting and filling.
MTI: Enhanced visual cues with RGB colors, dynamic threshold bands, and improved fill areas.
Code Clarity:
Trendilo: Functional but lacks detailed comments and organization.
MTI: Well-organized, extensively commented code for better readability and maintainability.
Weekly Open to Close Percentage ChangeThe "Weekly Open to Close Percentage Change Indicator" is a powerful tool designed to help traders and investors track the percentage change in price from the open of the current week's candle to its close. This indicator provides a clear visualization of how the price has moved within the week, offering valuable insights into weekly market trends and momentum.
Key Features:
Weekly Analysis: Focuses on weekly time frames, making it ideal for swing traders and long-term investors.
Percentage Change Calculation: Accurately calculates the percentage change from the open price of the current week's candle to the close price.
Color-Coded Visualization: Uses color coding to differentiate between positive and negative changes:
Green for positive percentage changes (price increase).
Red for negative percentage changes (price decrease).
Histogram Display: Plots the percentage change as a histogram for easy visual interpretation.
Background Highlighting: Adds a background color with transparency to highlight the nature of the change, enhancing chart readability.
Optional Labels: Includes an option to display percentage change values as small dots at the top for quick reference.
How to Use:
Add the script to your TradingView chart by opening the Pine Editor, pasting the script, and saving it.
Apply the indicator to your chart. It will automatically calculate and display the weekly percentage change.
Use the color-coded histogram and background to quickly assess weekly price movements and make informed trading decisions.
Use Cases:
Trend Identification: Quickly identify whether the market is trending upwards or downwards on a weekly basis.
Market Sentiment: Gauge the market sentiment by observing the weekly price changes.
Swing Trading: Ideal for swing traders who base their strategies on weekly price movements.
Note: This indicator is designed for educational and informational purposes. Always conduct thorough analysis and consider multiple indicators and factors when making trading decisions.
Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) Signals (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) Signals indicator, enhances the classic concept of moving averages by making them adaptive to the market's volatility. This adaptability makes the AMA particularly useful in identifying market trends with varying degrees of volatility.
The core of the AMA's adaptability lies in its Efficiency Ratio (ER), which measures the directionality of the market over a given period. The ER is calculated by dividing the absolute change in price over a period by the sum of the absolute differences in daily prices over the same period.
⚪ Why It's Useful
The AMA Signals indicator is particularly useful because of its adaptability to changing market conditions. Unlike static moving averages, it dynamically adjusts, providing more relevant signals that can help traders capture trends earlier or identify reversals with greater accuracy. Its configurability makes it suitable for various trading strategies and timeframes, from day trading to swing trading.
█ How It Works
The AMA Signals indicator operates on the principle of adapting to market efficiency through the calculation of the Efficiency Ratio (ER), which measures the directionality of the market over a specified period. By comparing the net price change to total price movements, the AMA adjusts its sensitivity, becoming faster during trending markets and slower during sideways markets. This adaptability is enhanced by a gamma parameter that filters signals for either trend continuation or reversal, making it versatile across different market conditions.
change = math.abs(close - close )
volatility = math.sum(math.abs(close - close ), n)
ER = change / volatility
Efficiency Ratio (ER) Calculation: The AMA begins with the computation of the Efficiency Ratio (ER), which measures the market's directionality over a specified period. The ER is a ratio of the net price change to the total price movements, serving as a measure of the efficiency of price movements.
Adaptive Smoothing: Based on the ER, the indicator calculates the smoothing constants for the fastest and slowest Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). These constants are then used to compute a Scaled Smoothing Coefficient (SC) that adapts the moving average to the market's efficiency, making it faster during trending periods and slower in sideways markets.
Signal Generation: The AMA applies a filter, adjusted by a "gamma" parameter, to identify trading signals. This gamma influences the sensitivity towards trend or reversal signals, with options to adjust for focusing on either trend-following or counter-trend signals.
█ How to Use
Trend Identification: Use the AMA to identify the direction of the trend. An upward moving AMA indicates a bullish trend, while a downward moving AMA suggests a bearish trend.
Trend Trading: Look for buy signals when the AMA is trending upwards and sell signals during a downward trend. Adjust the fast and slow EMA lengths to match the desired sensitivity and timeframe.
Reversal Trading: Set the gamma to a positive value to focus on reversal signals, identifying potential market turnarounds.
█ Settings
Period for ER calculation: Defines the lookback period for calculating the Efficiency Ratio, affecting how quickly the AMA responds to changes in market efficiency.
Fast EMA Length and Slow EMA Length: Determine the responsiveness of the AMA to recent price changes, allowing traders to fine-tune the indicator to their trading style.
Signal Gamma: Adjusts the sensitivity of the filter applied to the AMA, with the ability to focus on trend signals or reversal signals based on its value.
AMA Candles: An innovative feature that plots candles based on the AMA calculation, providing visual cues about the market trend and potential reversals.
█ Alerts
The AMA Signals indicator includes configurable alerts for buy and sell signals, as well as positive and negative trend changes.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Candlestick Bias OscillatorCandlestick Bias Oscillator (CBO)
The Candlestick Bias Oscillator (CBO) with Signal Line is a pioneering indicator developed for the TradingView platform, designed to offer traders a nuanced analysis of market sentiment through the unique lens of candlestick patterns. This indicator stands out by merging traditional concepts of price action analysis with innovative mathematical computations, providing a fresh perspective on trend detection and potential market reversals.
Originality and Utility
At the core of the CBO's originality is its method of calculating the bias of candlesticks. Unlike conventional oscillators that may rely solely on closing prices or high-low ranges, the CBO incorporates both the body and wick of candlesticks into its analysis. This dual consideration allows for a more rounded understanding of market sentiment, capturing both the directional momentum and the strength of price rejections within a single oscillator.
Mathematical Foundations
1. Body Bias: The CBO calculates the body bias by assessing the relative position of the close to the open within the day's range, scaled to a -100 to 100 range. This calculation reflects the bullish or bearish sentiment of the market, based on the day's closing momentum.
Body Bias = (Close−Open)/(High−Low) x 100
Wick Bias: Similarly, the wick bias calculation takes into account the lengths of the upper and lower wicks, indicating rejection levels beyond the body's close. The balance between these wicks is scaled similarly to the body bias, offering insight into the market's indecision or rejection of certain price levels.
Wick Bias=(Lower Wick−Upper Wick)/(Total Wick Length) × 100
3. Overall Bias and Oscillator: By averaging the body and wick biases, the CBO yields an overall bias score, which is then smoothed over a user-defined period to create the oscillator. This oscillator provides a clear visual representation of the market's underlying sentiment, smoothed to filter out the noise.
4. Signal Line: A secondary smoothing of the oscillator creates the signal line, offering a trigger for potential trading signals when the oscillator crosses this line, indicative of a change in market momentum.
How to Use the CBO:
The CBO is versatile, suitable for various trading strategies, including scalping, swing trading, and long-term trend following. Traders can use the oscillator and signal line crossovers as indications for entry or exit points. The relative position of the oscillator to the zero line further provides insight into the prevailing market bias, enabling traders to align their strategies with the broader market sentiment.
Why It Adds Value:
The CBO's innovative approach to analyzing candlestick patterns fills a gap in the existing array of TradingView indicators. By providing a detailed analysis of both candle bodies and wicks, the CBO offers a more comprehensive view of market sentiment than traditional oscillators. This can be particularly useful for traders looking to gauge the strength of price movements and potential reversal points with greater precision.
Conclusion:
The Candle Bias Oscillator with Signal Line is not just another addition to the plethora of indicators on TradingView. It represents a significant advancement in the analysis of market sentiment, combining traditional concepts with a novel mathematical approach. By offering a deeper insight into the dynamics of candlestick patterns, the CBO equips traders with a powerful tool to navigate the complexities of the market with increased confidence.
Explore the unique insights provided by the CBO and integrate it into your trading strategy for a more informed and nuanced market analysis.
RMB - High and LowDescription:
Introducing the "RMB - High and Low" indicator, a versatile and powerful tool designed for traders who seek a comprehensive view of the market across multiple time frames. This indicator is tailored to identify and display key support and resistance levels, adapting to your chosen time frame - from as short as 15 minutes to as long as a week.
Key Features:
Multi-Time Frame Flexibility : Easily switch between 15 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour, 2 hours, 4 hours, daily, and weekly time frames to align with your trading strategy and market analysis.
Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels : The indicator plots the highest high (resistance) and the lowest low (support) for the selected time frame, providing real-time insights into market behavior and potential pivot points.
Time Frame-Specific Labels : Each resistance and support line is labeled with the corresponding time frame, offering a clear and immediate reference, enhancing your chart analysis and decision-making process.
User-Friendly Interface : A simple and intuitive input interface allows for quick adjustments, making it easy to toggle between different time frames based on your trading needs.
Visual Clarity : Designed with distinct color coding - green for resistance and red for support - ensuring that key levels are easily identifiable at a glance.
Ideal Use Cases:
Day Trading: Utilize shorter time frames to capture quick market movements and identify intraday pivot points.
Swing Trading: Leverage longer time frames to understand broader market trends and establish entry and exit points.
Diverse Strategies: Whether you're scalping, trend following, or employing mean reversion tactics, adapt the indicator to fit your unique approach.
Conclusion:
The "RMB - High and Low" indicator is a must-have tool for traders who demand flexibility and precision in their technical analysis. By offering insights across various time frames, this indicator empowers you to make well-informed decisions, adapt to market changes swiftly, and enhance your trading performance.
Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci StrategyThe Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci Strategy is a powerful technical analysis trading strategy designed to identify potential entry and exit points in financial markets. This strategy combines two widely used indicators, Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci retracement levels, to assist traders in making informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
Bollinger Bands: This strategy utilizes Bollinger Bands, a volatility-based indicator that consists of an upper band, a lower band, and a middle (basis) line. Bollinger Bands help traders visualize price volatility and potential reversal points.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels are essential tools for identifying potential support and resistance levels in price charts. This strategy incorporates Fibonacci retracement levels, including the 0% and 100% levels, to aid in pinpointing key price levels.
Long and Short Signals: The strategy generates long (buy) and short (sell) signals based on specific conditions derived from Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci levels. Long signals are generated when price crosses above the upper Bollinger Band and when the price is above the Fibonacci low level. Short signals are generated when price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band and when the price is below the Fibonacci high level.
Position Management: To prevent multiple concurrent positions of the same type (long or short), the strategy employs position management logic. It tracks open positions and ensures that only one position type is active at a time.
Exit Conditions: The strategy includes customizable exit conditions to manage and close open positions. Traders can fine-tune exit criteria to align with their risk management and profit-taking strategies.
User-Friendly: This strategy script is user-friendly and can be easily integrated into the TradingView platform, allowing traders to apply it to various financial instruments and timeframes.
Usage:
Traders and investors can apply the Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci Strategy to a wide range of financial markets, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. It can be adapted to different timeframes to suit various trading styles, from day trading to swing trading.
Disclaimer:
Trading carries inherent risks, and this strategy is no exception. It is essential to use proper risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders, and thoroughly backtest the strategy on historical data before implementing it in live trading.
The Bollinger Bands & Fibonacci Strategy is a valuable tool for technical traders seeking well-defined entry and exit points based on robust indicators. It can serve as a foundation for traders to build and customize their trading strategies according to their individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Feel free to customize this description to add any additional details or specifications unique to your strategy. When publishing your strategy on a trading platform like TradingView, a clear and informative description can help potential users understand and use your strategy effectively.
W and M Pattern Indicator- SwaGThis is a TradingView indicator script that identifies potential buy and sell signals based on ‘W’ and ‘M’ patterns in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It provides visual alerts and draws horizontal lines to indicate potential trade entry points.
User Manual:
Inputs: The script takes two inputs - an upper limit and a lower limit. The default values are 70 and 40, respectively.
RSI Calculation: The script calculates the RSI based on the closing prices of the last 14 periods.
Pattern Identification: It identifies ‘W’ patterns when the RSI makes a higher low within the lower limit, and ‘M’ patterns when the RSI makes a lower high within the upper limit.
Visual Alerts: The script plots these patterns on the chart. ‘W’ patterns are marked with small green triangles below the bars, and ‘M’ patterns are marked with small red triangles above the bars.
Trade Entry Points: A horizontal line is drawn at the high or low of the candle to represent potential trade entry points. The line starts from one bar to the left and extends 10 bars to the right.
Trading Strategy:
For investing, use a weekly timeframe.
For swing trading, use a daily timeframe.
For intraday trading, use a 5 or 15-minute timeframe. Only consider sell-side signals for intraday trading.
Take a buy position if the high breaks above the green line or sell if the low breaks below the red line.
Use recent signals only and avoid signals that are too old.
Swing highs or lows will be your stop-loss level.
Always think about your stop-loss before entering a trade, not your target.
Avoid trades with a large stop-loss.
Remember, this script is a tool to aid in your trading decisions. Always test your strategies thoroughly before live trading. Happy trading! 😊
Trend Correlation HeatmapHello everyone!
I am excited to release my trend correlation heatmap, or trend heatmap for short.
Per usual, I think its important to explain the theory before we get into the use of the indicator, so let's get into the theory!
The theory:
So what is a correlation?
Correlation is the relationship one variable has to another. Correlations are the basis of everything I do as a quantitative trader. From the correlation between the same variables (i.e. autocorrelation), the correlation between other variables (i.e. VIX and SPY, SPY High and SPY Low, DXY and ES1! close, etc.) and, as well, the correlation between price and time (time series correlation).
This may sound very familiar to you, especially if you are a user, observer or follower of my ideas and/or indicators. Ninety-five percent of my indicators are a function of one of those three things. Whether it be a time series based indicator (i.e.my time series indicator), whether it be autocorrelation (my autoregressive cloud indicator or my autocorrelation oscillator) or whether it be regressive in nature (i.e. my SPY Volume weighted close, or even my expected move which uses averages in lieu of regressive approaches but is foundational in regression principles. Or even my VIX oscillator which relies on the premise of correlations between tickers.) So correlation is extremely important to me and while its true I am more of a regression trader than anything, I would argue that I am more of a correlation trader, because correlations are the backbone of how I develop math models of stocks.
What I am trying to stress here is the importance of correlations. They really truly are foundational to any type of quantitative analysis for stocks. And as such, understanding the current relationship a stock has to time is pivotal for any meaningful analysis to be conducted.
So what is correlation to time and what does it tell us?
Correlation to time, otherwise known and commonly referred to as "Time Series", is the relationship a ticker's price has to the passing of time. It is displayed in the traditional Pearson Correlation Coefficient or R value and can be any value from -1 (strong negative relationship, i.e. a strong downtrend) to + 1 (i.e. a strong positive relationship, i.e. a strong uptrend). The higher or lower the value the stronger the up or downtrend is.
As such, correlation to time tells us two very important things. These are:
a) The direction of the stock; and
b) The strength of the trend.
Let's take a look at an example:
Above we have a chart of QQQ. We can see a trendline that seems to fit well. The questions we ask as traders are:
1. What is the likelihood QQQ breaks down from this trendline?
2. What is the likelihood QQQ continues up?
3. What is the likelihood QQQ does a false breakdown?
There are numerous mathematical approaches we can take to answer these questions. For example, 1 and 2 can be answered by use of a Cumulative Distribution Density analysis (CDDA) or even a linear or loglinear regression analysis and 3 can be answered, more or less, with a linear regression analysis and standard error ascertainment, or even just a general comparison using a data science approach (such as cosine similarity or Manhattan distance).
But, the reality is, all 3 of these questions can be visualized, at least in some way, by simply looking at the correlation to time. Let's look at this chart again, this time with the correlation heatmap applied:
If we look at the indicator we can see some pivotal things. These are:
1. We have 4, very strong uptrends that span both higher AND lower timeframes. We have a strong uptrend of 0.96 on the 5 minute, 50 candle period. We have a strong uptrend at the 300 candle lookback period on the 1 minute, we have a strong uptrend on the 100 day lookback on the daily timeframe period and we have a strong uptrend on the 5 minute on the 500 candle lookback period.
2. By comparison, we have 3 downtrends, all of which have correlations less than the 4 uptrends. All of the downtrends have a correlation above -0.8 (which we would want lower than -0.8 to be very strong), and all of the uptrends are greater than + 0.80.
3. We can also see that the uptrends are not confined to the smaller timeframes. We have multiple uptrends on multiple timeframes and both short term (50 to 100 candles) and long term (up to 500 candles).
4. The overall trend is strengthening to the upside manifested by a positive Max Change and a Positive Min change (to be discussed later more in-depth).
With this, we can see that QQQ is actually very strong and likely will continue at least some upside. If we let this play out:
We continued up, had one test and then bounced.
Now, I want to specify, this indicator is not a panacea for all trading. And in relation to the 3 questions posed, they are best answered, at least quantitatively, not only by correlation but also by the aforementioned methods (CDDA, etc.) but correlation will help you get a feel for the strength or weakness present with a stock.
What are some tangible applications of the indicator?
For me, this indicator is used in many ways. Let me outline some ways I generally apply this indicator in my day and swing trading:
1. Gauging the strength of the stock: The indictor tells you the most prevalent behavior of the stock. Are there more downtrends than uptrends present? Are the downtrends present on the larger timeframes vs uptrends on the shorter indicating a possible bullish reversal? or vice versa? Are the trends strengthening or weakening? All of these things can be visualized with the indicator.
2. Setting parameters for other indicators: If you trade EMAs or SMAs, you may have a "one size fits all" approach. However, its actually better to adjust your EMA or SMA length to the actual trend itself. Take a look at this:
This is QQQ on the 1 hour with the 200 EMA with 200 standard deviation bands added. If we look at the heatmap, we can see, yes indeed 200 has a fairly strong uptrend correlation of 0.70. But the strongest hourly uptrend is actually at 400 candles, with a correlation of 0.91. So what happens if we change the EMA length and standard deviation to 400? This:
The exact areas are circled and colour coded. You can see, the 400 offers more of a better reference point of supports and resistances as well as a better overall trend fit. And this is why I never advocate for getting married to a specific EMA. If you are an EMA 200 lover or 21 or 51, know that these are not always the best depending on the trend and situation.
Components of the indicator:
Ah okay, now for the boring stuff. Let's go over the functionality of the indicator. I tried to keep it simple, so it is pretty straight forward. If we open the menu here are our options:
We have the ability to toggle whichever timeframes we want. We also have the ability to toggle on or off the legend that displays the colour codes and the Max and Min highest change.
Max and Min highest change: The max and min highest change simply display the change in correlation over the previous 14 candles. An increasing Max change means that the Max trend is strengthening. If we see an increasing Max change and an increasing Min change (the Min correlation is moving up), this means the stock is bullish. Why? Because the min (i.e. ideally a big negative number) is going up closer to the positives. Therefore, the downtrend is weakening.
If we see both the Max and Min declining (red), that means the uptrend is weakening and downtrend is strengthening. Here are some examples:
Final Thoughts:
And that is the indicator and the theory behind the indicator.
In a nutshell, to summarize, the indicator simply tracks the correlation of a ticker to time on multiple timeframes. This will allow you to make judgements about strength, sentiment and also help you adjust which tools and timeframes you are using to perform your analyses.
As well, to make the indicator more user friendly, I tried to make the colours distinctively different. I was going to do different shades but it was a little difficult to visualize. As such, I have included a toggle-able legend with a breakdown of the colour codes!
That's it my friends, I hope you find it useful!
Safe trades and leave your questions, comments and feedback below!
Moving Average Filters Add-on w/ Expanded Source Types [Loxx]Moving Average Filters Add-on w/ Expanded Source Types is a conglomeration of specialized and traditional moving averages that will be used in most of indicators that I publish moving forward. There are 39 moving averages included in this indicator as well as expanded source types including traditional Heiken Ashi and Better Heiken Ashi candles. You can read about the expanded source types clicking here . About half of these moving averages are closed source on other trading platforms. This indicator serves as a reference point for future public/private, open/closed source indicators that I publish to TradingView. Information about these moving averages was gleaned from various forex and trading forums and platforms as well as TASC publications and other assorted research publications.
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Included moving averages
ADXvma - Average Directional Volatility Moving Average
Linnsoft's ADXvma formula is a volatility-based moving average, with the volatility being determined by the value of the ADX indicator.
The ADXvma has the SMA in Chande's CMO replaced with an EMA, it then uses a few more layers of EMA smoothing before the "Volatility Index" is calculated.
A side effect is, those additional layers slow down the ADXvma when you compare it to Chande's Variable Index Dynamic Average VIDYA.
The ADXVMA provides support during uptrends and resistance during downtrends and will stay flat for longer, but will create some of the most accurate market signals when it decides to move.
Ahrens Moving Average
Richard D. Ahrens's Moving Average promises "Smoother Data" that isn't influenced by the occasional price spike. It works by using the Open and the Close in his formula so that the only time the Ahrens Moving Average will change is when the candlestick is either making new highs or new lows.
Alexander Moving Average - ALXMA
This Moving Average uses an elaborate smoothing formula and utilizes a 7 period Moving Average. It corresponds to fitting a second-order polynomial to seven consecutive observations. This moving average is rarely used in trading but is interesting as this Moving Average has been applied to diffusion indexes that tend to be very volatile.
Double Exponential Moving Average - DEMA
The Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) combines a smoothed EMA and a single EMA to provide a low-lag indicator. It's primary purpose is to reduce the amount of "lagging entry" opportunities, and like all Moving Averages, the DEMA confirms uptrends whenever price crosses on top of it and closes above it, and confirms downtrends when the price crosses under it and closes below it - but with significantly less lag.
Double Smoothed Exponential Moving Average - DSEMA
The Double Smoothed Exponential Moving Average is a lot less laggy compared to a traditional EMA. It's also considered a leading indicator compared to the EMA, and is best utilized whenever smoothness and speed of reaction to market changes are required.
Exponential Moving Average - EMA
The EMA places more significance on recent data points and moves closer to price than the SMA (Simple Moving Average). It reacts faster to volatility due to its emphasis on recent data and is known for its ability to give greater weight to recent and more relevant data. The EMA is therefore seen as an enhancement over the SMA.
Fast Exponential Moving Average - FEMA
An Exponential Moving Average with a short look-back period.
Fractal Adaptive Moving Average - FRAMA
The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average by John Ehlers is an intelligent adaptive Moving Average which takes the importance of price changes into account and follows price closely enough to display significant moves whilst remaining flat if price ranges. The FRAMA does this by dynamically adjusting the look-back period based on the market's fractal geometry.
Hull Moving Average - HMA
Alan Hull's HMA makes use of weighted moving averages to prioritize recent values and greatly reduce lag whilst maintaining the smoothness of a traditional Moving Average. For this reason, it's seen as a well-suited Moving Average for identifying entry points.
IE/2 - Early T3 by Tim Tilson
The IE/2 is a Moving Average that uses Linear Regression slope in its calculation to help with smoothing. It's a worthy Moving Average on it's own, even though it is the precursor and very early version of the famous "T3 Indicator".
Integral of Linear Regression Slope - ILRS
A Moving Average where the slope of a linear regression line is simply integrated as it is fitted in a moving window of length N (natural numbers in maths) across the data. The derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. ILRS is not the same as a SMA (Simple Moving Average) of length N, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
Instantaneous Trendline
The Instantaneous Trendline is created by removing the dominant cycle component from the price information which makes this Moving Average suitable for medium to long-term trading.
Laguerre Filter
The Laguerre Filter is a smoothing filter which is based on Laguerre polynomials. The filter requires the current price, three prior prices, a user defined factor called Alpha to fill its calculation.
Adjusting the Alpha coefficient is used to increase or decrease its lag and it's smoothness.
Leader Exponential Moving Average
The Leader EMA was created by Giorgos E. Siligardos who created a Moving Average which was able to eliminate lag altogether whilst maintaining some smoothness. It was first described during his research paper "MACD Leader" where he applied this to the MACD to improve its signals and remove its lagging issue. This filter uses his leading MACD's "modified EMA" and can be used as a zero lag filter.
Linear Regression Value - LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average)
LSMA as a Moving Average is based on plotting the end point of the linear regression line. It compares the current value to the prior value and a determination is made of a possible trend, eg. the linear regression line is pointing up or down.
Linear Weighted Moving Average - LWMA
LWMA reacts to price quicker than the SMA and EMA. Although it's similar to the Simple Moving Average, the difference is that a weight coefficient is multiplied to the price which means the most recent price has the highest weighting, and each prior price has progressively less weight. The weights drop in a linear fashion.
McGinley Dynamic
John McGinley created this Moving Average to track price better than traditional Moving Averages. It does this by incorporating an automatic adjustment factor into its formula, which speeds (or slows) the indicator in trending, or ranging, markets.
McNicholl EMA
Dennis McNicholl developed this Moving Average to use as his center line for his "Better Bollinger Bands" indicator and was successful because it responded better to volatility changes over the standard SMA and managed to avoid common whipsaws.
Non lag moving average
The Non Lag Moving average follows price closely and gives very quick signals as well as early signals of price change. As a standalone Moving Average, it should not be used on its own, but as an additional confluence tool for early signals.
Parabolic Weighted Moving Average
The Parabolic Weighted Moving Average is a variation of the Linear Weighted Moving Average. The Linear Weighted Moving Average calculates the average by assigning different weight to each element in its calculation. The Parabolic Weighted Moving Average is a variation that allows weights to be changed to form a parabolic curve. It is done simply by using the Power parameter of this indicator.
Recursive Moving Trendline
Dennis Meyers's Recursive Moving Trendline uses a recursive (repeated application of a rule) polynomial fit, a technique that uses a small number of past values estimations of price and today's price to predict tomorrows price.
Simple Moving Average - SMA
The SMA calculates the average of a range of prices by adding recent prices and then dividing that figure by the number of time periods in the calculation average. It is the most basic Moving Average which is seen as a reliable tool for starting off with Moving Average studies. As reliable as it may be, the basic moving average will work better when it's enhanced into an EMA.
Sine Weighted Moving Average
The Sine Weighted Moving Average assigns the most weight at the middle of the data set. It does this by weighting from the first half of a Sine Wave Cycle and the most weighting is given to the data in the middle of that data set. The Sine WMA closely resembles the TMA (Triangular Moving Average).
Smoothed Moving Average - SMMA
The Smoothed Moving Average is similar to the Simple Moving Average (SMA), but aims to reduce noise rather than reduce lag. SMMA takes all prices into account and uses a long lookback period. Due to this, it's seen a an accurate yet laggy Moving Average.
Smoother
The Smoother filter is a faster-reacting smoothing technique which generates considerably less lag than the SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average). It gives earlier signals but can also create false signals due to its earlier reactions. This filter is sometimes wrongly mistaken for the superior Jurik Smoothing algorithm.
Super Smoother
The Super Smoother filter uses John Ehlers’s “Super Smoother” which consists of a a Two pole Butterworth filter combined with a 2-bar SMA (Simple Moving Average) that suppresses the 22050 Hz Nyquist frequency: A characteristic of a sampler, which converts a continuous function or signal into a discrete sequence.
Three pole Ehlers Butterworth
The 3 pole Ehlers Butterworth (as well as the Two pole Butterworth) are both superior alternatives to the EMA and SMA. They aim at producing less lag whilst maintaining accuracy. The 2 pole filter will give you a better approximation for price, whereas the 3 pole filter has superior smoothing.
Three pole Ehlers smoother
The 3 pole Ehlers smoother works almost as close to price as the above mentioned 3 Pole Ehlers Butterworth. It acts as a strong baseline for signals but removes some noise. Side by side, it hardly differs from the Three Pole Ehlers Butterworth but when examined closely, it has better overshoot reduction compared to the 3 pole Ehlers Butterworth.
Triangular Moving Average - TMA
The TMA is similar to the EMA but uses a different weighting scheme. Exponential and weighted Moving Averages will assign weight to the most recent price data. Simple moving averages will assign the weight equally across all the price data. With a TMA (Triangular Moving Average), it is double smoother (averaged twice) so the majority of the weight is assigned to the middle portion of the data.
The TMA and Sine Weighted Moving Average Filter are almost identical at times.
Triple Exponential Moving Average - TEMA
The TEMA uses multiple EMA calculations as well as subtracting lag to create a tool which can be used for scalping pullbacks. As it follows price closely, it's signals are considered very noisy and should only be used in extremely fast-paced trading conditions.
Two pole Ehlers Butterworth
The 2 pole Ehlers Butterworth (as well as the three pole Butterworth mentioned above) is another filter that cuts out the noise and follows the price closely. The 2 pole is seen as a faster, leading filter over the 3 pole and follows price a bit more closely. Analysts will utilize both a 2 pole and a 3 pole Butterworth on the same chart using the same period, but having both on chart allows its crosses to be traded.
Two pole Ehlers smoother
A smoother version of the Two pole Ehlers Butterworth. This filter is the faster version out of the 3 pole Ehlers Butterworth. It does a decent job at cutting out market noise whilst emphasizing a closer following to price over the 3 pole Ehlers.
Volume Weighted EMA - VEMA
Utilizing tick volume in MT4 (or real volume in MT5), this EMA will use the Volume reading in its decision to plot its moves. The more Volume it detects on a move, the more authority (confirmation) it has. And this EMA uses those Volume readings to plot its movements.
Studies show that tick volume and real volume have a very strong correlation, so using this filter in MT4 or MT5 produces very similar results and readings.
Zero Lag DEMA - Zero Lag Double Exponential Moving Average
John Ehlers's Zero Lag DEMA's aim is to eliminate the inherent lag associated with all trend following indicators which average a price over time. Because this is a Double Exponential Moving Average with Zero Lag, it has a tendency to overshoot and create a lot of false signals for swing trading. It can however be used for quick scalping or as a secondary indicator for confluence.
Zero Lag Moving Average
The Zero Lag Moving Average is described by its creator, John Ehlers, as a Moving Average with absolutely no delay. And it's for this reason that this filter will cause a lot of abrupt signals which will not be ideal for medium to long-term traders. This filter is designed to follow price as close as possible whilst de-lagging data instead of basing it on regular data. The way this is done is by attempting to remove the cumulative effect of the Moving Average.
Zero Lag TEMA - Zero Lag Triple Exponential Moving Average
Just like the Zero Lag DEMA, this filter will give you the fastest signals out of all the Zero Lag Moving Averages. This is useful for scalping but dangerous for medium to long-term traders, especially during market Volatility and news events. Having no lag, this filter also has no smoothing in its signals and can cause some very bizarre behavior when applied to certain indicators.
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What are Heiken Ashi "better" candles?
The "better formula" was proposed in an article/memo by BNP-Paribas (In Warrants & Zertifikate, No. 8, August 2004 (a monthly German magazine published by BNP Paribas, Frankfurt), there is an article by Sebastian Schmidt about further development (smoothing) of Heikin-Ashi chart.)
They proposed to use the following:
(Open+Close)/2+(((Close-Open)/( High-Low ))*ABS((Close-Open)/2))
instead of using :
haClose = (O+H+L+C)/4
According to that document the HA representation using their proposed formula is better than the traditional formula.
What are traditional Heiken-Ashi candles?
The Heikin-Ashi technique averages price data to create a Japanese candlestick chart that filters out market noise.
Heikin-Ashi charts, developed by Munehisa Homma in the 1700s, share some characteristics with standard candlestick charts but differ based on the values used to create each candle. Instead of using the open, high, low, and close like standard candlestick charts, the Heikin-Ashi technique uses a modified formula based on two-period averages. This gives the chart a smoother appearance, making it easier to spots trends and reversals, but also obscures gaps and some price data.
Expanded generic source types:
Close = close
Open = open
High = high
Low = low
Median = hl2
Typical = hlc3
Weighted = hlcc4
Average = ohlc4
Average Median Body = (open+close)/2
Trend Biased = (see code, too complex to explain here)
Trend Biased (extreme) = (see code, too complex to explain here)
Included:
-Toggle bar color on/off
-Toggle signal line on/off
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Fisherized Deviation Scaled OscillatorLevel: 2
Background
John F. Ehlers introuced Fisherized Deviation Scaled Oscillator in Oct, 2018.
Function
In “Probability—Probably A Good Thing To Know,” John Ehlers introduces a procedure for measuring an indicator’s probability distribution to determine if it can be used as part of a reversion-to-the-mean trading strategy. Dr. Ehlers demonstrates this method with several of his existing indicators and presents a new indicator that he calls a deviation-scaled oscillator with Fisher transform. It charts the probability density of an oscillator to evaluate its applicability to swing trading.
Key Signal
FisherFilt --> Ehlers Fisherized Deviation Scaled Oscillator fast line
Trigger --> Ehlers Fisherized Deviation Scaled Oscillator slow line
Pros and Cons
100% John F. Ehlers definition translation, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book.
Remarks
The 91th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
[blackcat] L2 Swing Oscillator Swing MeterLevel: 2
Background
Swing trading is a type of trading aimed at making short to medium term profits from a trading pair over a period of a few days to several weeks. Swing traders mainly use technical analysis to look for trading opportunities. In addition to analyzing price trends and patterns, these traders can also use fundamental analysis.
Function
L2 Swing Oscillator Swing Meter is an oscillator based on breakouts. Another important feature of it is the swing meter, which confirms the top or bottom's confidence level with different color candles. The higher of the candles stack up, the higher confidence level is indicated.
Key Signal
absolutebot ---> absolute bottom with very high confidence level
ltbot ---> long term bottom with high confidence level
mtbot ---> middle term bottom with moderate confidence level
stbot ---> short term bottom with low confidence level
absolutetop ---> absolute top with very high confidence level
lttop ---> long term top with high confidence level
mttop ---> middle term top with moderate confidence level
sttop ---> short term top with low confidence level
fastline ---> oscillator fast line
slowline ---> oscillator slow line
Pros and Cons
Pros:
1. reconfigurable swing oscillator based on breakouts
2. swing meter can confirm/validate the bottom and top signal
Cons:
1. not appliable with trading pairs without volume information
2. small time frame may not trigger swing meter function
Remarks
This is a simple but very comprehensive technical indicator
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
Polynomial Regression HeatmapPolynomial Regression Heatmap – Advanced Trend & Volatility Visualizer
Overview
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap is a sophisticated trading tool designed for traders who require a clear and precise understanding of market trends and volatility. By applying a second-degree polynomial regression to price data, the indicator generates a smooth trend curve, augmented with adaptive volatility bands and a dynamic heatmap. This framework allows users to instantly recognize trend direction, potential reversals, and areas of market strength or weakness, translating complex price action into a visually intuitive map.
Unlike static trend indicators, the Polynomial Regression Heatmap adapts to changing market conditions. Its visual design—including color-coded candles, regression bands, optional polynomial channels, and breakout markers—ensures that price behavior is easy to interpret. This makes it suitable for scalping, swing trading, and longer-term strategies across multiple asset classes.
How It Works
The core of the indicator relies on fitting a second-degree polynomial to a defined lookback period of price data. This regression curve captures the non-linear nature of market movements, revealing the true trajectory of price beyond the distortions of noise or short-term volatility.
Adaptive upper and lower bands are constructed using ATR-based scaling, surrounding the regression line to reflect periods of high and low volatility. When price moves toward or beyond these bands, it signals areas of potential overextension or support/resistance.
The heatmap colors each candle based on its relative position within the bands. Green shades indicate proximity to the upper band, red shades indicate proximity to the lower band, and neutral tones represent mid-range positioning. This continuous gradient visualization provides immediate feedback on trend strength, market balance, and potential turning points.
Optional polynomial channels can be overlaid around the regression curve. These three-line channels are based on regression residuals and a fixed width multiplier, offering additional reference points for analyzing price deviations, trend continuation, and reversion zones.
Signals and Breakouts
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap includes statistical pivot-based signals to highlight actionable price movements:
Buy Signals – A triangular marker appears below the candle when a pivot low occurs below the lower regression band.
Sell Signals – A triangular marker appears above the candle when a pivot high occurs above the upper regression band.
These markers identify significant deviations from the regression curve while accounting for volatility, providing high-quality visual cues for potential entry points.
The indicator ensures clarity by spacing markers vertically using ATR-based calculations, preventing overlap during periods of high volatility. Users can rely on these signals in combination with heatmap intensity and regression slope for contextual confirmation.
Interpretation
Trend Analysis :
The slope of the polynomial regression line represents trend direction. A rising curve indicates bullish bias, a falling curve indicates bearish bias, and a flat curve indicates consolidation.
Steeper slopes suggest stronger momentum, while gradual slopes indicate more moderate trend conditions.
Volatility Assessment :
Band width provides an instant visual measure of market volatility. Narrow bands correspond to low volatility and potential consolidation, whereas wide bands indicate higher volatility and significant price swings.
Heatmap Coloring :
Candle colors visually represent price position within the bands. This allows traders to quickly identify zones of bullish or bearish pressure without performing complex calculations.
Channel Analysis (Optional) :
The polynomial channel defines zones for evaluating potential overextensions or retracements. Price interacting with these lines may suggest areas where mean-reversion or trend continuation is likely.
Breakout Signals :
Buy and Sell markers highlight pivot points relative to the regression and volatility bands. These are statistical signals, not arbitrary triggers, and should be interpreted in context with trend slope, band width, and heatmap intensity.
Strategy Integration
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap supports multiple trading approaches:
Trend Following – Enter trades in the direction of the regression slope while using the heatmap for momentum confirmation.
Pullback Entries – Use breakouts or deviations from the regression bands as low-risk entry points during trend continuation.
Mean Reversion – Price reaching outer channel boundaries can indicate potential reversal or retracement opportunities.
Multi-Timeframe Alignment – Overlay on higher and lower timeframes to filter noise and improve entry timing.
Stop-loss levels can be set just beyond the opposing regression band, while take-profit targets can be informed by the distance between the bands or the curvature of the polynomial line.
Advanced Techniques
For traders seeking greater precision:
Combine the Polynomial Regression Heatmap with volume, momentum, or volatility indicators to validate signals.
Observe the width and slope of the regression bands over time to anticipate expanding or contracting volatility.
Track sequences of breakout signals in conjunction with heatmap intensity for systematic trade management.
Adjusting regression length allows customization for different assets or timeframes, balancing responsiveness and smoothing. The combination of polynomial curve, adaptive bands, heatmap, and optional channels provides a comprehensive statistical framework for informed decision-making.
Inputs and Customization
Regression Length – Determines the number of bars used for polynomial fitting. Shorter lengths increase responsiveness; longer lengths improve smoothing.
Show Bands – Toggle visibility of the ATR-based regression bands.
Show Channel – Enable or disable the polynomial channel overlay.
Color Settings – Customize bullish, bearish, neutral, and accent colors for clarity and visual preference.
All other internal parameters are fixed to ensure consistent statistical behavior and minimize potential misconfiguration.
Why Use Polynomial Regression Heatmap
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap transforms complex price action into a clear, actionable visual framework. By combining non-linear trend mapping, adaptive volatility bands, heatmap visualization, and breakout signals, it provides a multi-dimensional perspective that is both quantitative and intuitive.
This indicator allows traders to focus on execution, interpret market structure at a glance, and evaluate trend strength, overextensions, and potential reversals in real time. Its design is compatible with scalping, swing trading, and long-term strategies, providing a robust tool for disciplined, data-driven trading.
Daily High/Low (15m) + EMA Pre-Market H/L + ORBStraightforward:
I built a swing-trading indicator with ChatGPT that plots 15-minute highs and lows, draws pre-market high/low lines, and adds a 15-minute opening-range breakout feature.
Technical:
Using ChatGPT, I developed a swing-trade indicator that calculates 15-minute highs/lows, overlays pre-market high and low levels, and includes a 15-minute Opening Range Breakout (ORB) module.
Promotional:
I created a ChatGPT-powered swing-trading indicator that maps 15-minute highs/lows, marks pre-market levels, and features a 15-minute Opening Range Breakout for clearer entries.
MK_OSFT-Multi-Timeframe MA Dashboard & Smart Alerts-v2📊 Multi-Timeframe MA Dashboard & Smart Alerts v2.0
Transform your trading with the ultimate moving average monitoring system that tracks up to 8 different MA configurations across multiple timeframes simultaneously.
🎯 What This Indicator Does
This advanced dashboard eliminates the need to constantly switch between timeframes by displaying all your critical moving averages on a single chart. Whether you're scalping on 5-minute charts or swing trading on daily timeframes, you'll instantly see the big picture.
⭐ Key Features
📈 Multi-Timeframe Moving Averages
Monitor up to **8 different MA configurations** simultaneously
Support for **SMA and EMA** across 6 timeframes (5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, Daily, Weekly)
Each MA fully customizable: length, color, alert settings, and visibility
Smart visual representation with labeled horizontal lines and connecting plots
🚨 Intelligent Alert System
Cross-over/Cross-under alerts for price vs MA interactions
Three alert modes : No alerts, Once only, or Once per bar close
Smart batching system prevents alert spam during volatile periods
Queue management with 3-second delays between alerts for optimal performance
Easy alert reset functionality for "once only" alerts
📊 Real-Time Information Dashboard
Live countdown timers showing time remaining until each timeframe closes
Color-coded progress bars with gradient visualization (green → yellow → orange → red)
Instant cross-over detection with up/down arrow indicators
Price vs MA relationship clearly displayed (above/below coloring)
🎨 Professional Visualization
Anti-overlap technology prevents labels from clustering
Customizable label positioning and sizing options
Drawing order control (larger timeframes first/last)
Connecting lines link current price to MA values
Status line integration for quick value reference
💡 Perfect For
Multi-timeframe traders [/b who need complete market context
Trend followers monitoring key MA levels across timeframes
Breakout traders waiting for price to cross critical moving averages
Risk managers using MAs as dynamic support/resistance levels
Anyone wanting organized, clutter-free MA monitoring
⚙️ Highly Configurable
Moving Average Settings
Individual enable/disable for each of 8 MA slots
Flexible timeframe selection : 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, Daily, Weekly
MA type choice : SMA or EMA for each configuration
Custom lengths from 1 to any desired period
Color customization for each MA line and label
Alert Management
Per-MA alert configuration : Choose which MAs trigger alerts
Source selection : Current bar vs last confirmed bar calculations
Frequency control : Prevent over-alerting with smart queuing
Reset functionality : Easily reactivate "fired" once-only alerts
Display Options
Table positioning : Top-right, bottom-left, or bottom-right
Label styling : Size, offset, and gap control
Line customization : Width and extension options
Timezone adjustment : Align timestamps with your local time
🔧 Technical Excellence
Optimized performance with efficient array management and single-pass calculations
Real-time vs historical mode handling for accurate backtesting
Memory-efficient label and line management prevents accumulation
Robust error handling and edge case management
Clean, well-documented code following Pine Script best practices
📋 How to Use
Add to chart and configure your desired MA combinations
Set alert preferences for each MA (none/once/per bar)
Create TradingView alert using "Any alert() function calls"
Monitor the dashboard for cross-over signals and timeframe progress
Use the info table to track all MA values and alert statuses at a glance
🎓 Educational Value
This indicator serves as an excellent educational tool for understanding:
Multi-timeframe analysis principles
Moving average confluence and divergence
Alert system design and management
Professional indicator development techniques
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Transform your trading workflow with this professional-grade multi-timeframe MA monitoring system. No more chart hopping - get the complete moving average picture in one powerful dashboard!
© MK_OSF_TRADING | Pine Script v6 | Mozilla Public License 2.0
All Weekly Opens + Week LabelThis script plots every Weekly Open (WO) across the entire chart, making it easy for traders to backtest how price reacts to weekly opens historically.
Each weekly open is drawn as a horizontal line and labeled with the month abbreviation and the week number of that month (e.g., WO Aug-4). This allows traders to quickly identify where each weekly session started and analyze market behavior around these key reference levels.
How it works
The script detects the first bar of each new week and records its opening price.
A horizontal line is drawn at that price, extending to the right.
An optional label shows the week name in the format Month-WeekNumber.
Traders can enable or disable labels, change line colors, line width, and optionally display the opening price in the label.
A new input allows filtering to show only the last N months of Weekly Opens. By default, all weekly opens are displayed, but traders can limit the chart to just the most recent ones for a cleaner view.
Why it’s useful
Weekly opens are often respected levels in both intraday and swing trading. They provide natural reference points for:
Backtesting market reactions to session opens.
Identifying areas of support/resistance around weekly levels.
Aligning trade entries and exits with higher-timeframe context.
Simplifying charts by focusing only on the most relevant recent weeks.
Notes
This indicator is not a trading signal generator.
It should be used as a contextual tool for analysis, helping traders improve risk management and entry precision.
Works on all symbols and timeframes.
The “last N months” filter is optional; setting it to 0 will plot all Weekly Opens available in the chart’s history.
Multi Stoch + VWAP Heatmap + Histogram + ScalpingThis indicator was developed by referencing various indicators from many contributors. I apologize that I cannot identify all the original authors due to the numerous sources referenced. Thank you to everyone who contributed to the trading community.
Important Notice: Please use this indicator with sufficient caution and proper risk management. I do not assume any responsibility for any losses incurred from using this indicator. Trade at your own risk.
Alternative version:
Acknowledgment & Disclaimer:
This indicator incorporates ideas and concepts from numerous community indicators. I sincerely apologize for not being able to properly credit all the original creators due to the extensive references used. My heartfelt gratitude goes out to all the talented developers in the trading community.
Risk Warning: Please exercise extreme caution when using this indicator. All trading involves substantial risk of loss, and I accept no liability for any financial losses that may result from the use of this indicator. Always implement proper risk management and trade responsibly.
Multi Stoch + VWAP Heatmap + Histogram + Scalping Usage Guide
🔧 Basic Settings
Parameter Settings (Recommended for XAU/USD)
Fast Stoch Length: 5 # Ultra-short term trend
Medium Stoch Length: 14 # Short term trend
Slow Stoch Length: 21 # Medium term trend
%K Smoothing: 2 # High sensitivity setting
%D Smoothing: 2 # High sensitivity setting
Overbought Level: 75 # Sell zone
Oversold Level: 25 # Buy zone
📈 Reading the Chart
1. Histogram (Background Bar Chart)
Green tones: Strong uptrend
Red tones: Strong downtrend
Gray: Trendless/neutral
2. Line Display
Blue lines: Ultra-short term Stochastic (K1/D1)
Orange lines: Short term Stochastic (K2/D2)
Purple lines: Medium term Stochastic (K3/D3)
Yellow line: VWAP (normalized)
3. Horizontal Lines
Upper line (75): Sell zone
Center line (50): Neutral line
Lower line (25): Buy zone
🎯 Signal Types and Meanings
Scalping Signals (● marks)
Green ● (bottom): 📈 Scalp buy entry
RSI(7) < 25 + K1 < 30 combination
VWAP bounce targeting
Red ● (top): 📉 Scalp sell entry
RSI(7) > 75 + K1 > 70 combination
VWAP rejection targeting
Main Trend Signals
▲ (large, green): 💪 Strong buy signal - Multiple conditions aligned
▼ (large, red): 💪 Strong sell signal - Multiple conditions aligned
△ (medium, green): 📈 Normal buy signal
▽ (medium, orange): 📉 Normal sell signal
Warning/Reversal Signals
▼ (pink): ⚠️ Sell warning - Trend reversal caution
△ (teal): ⚠️ Buy warning - Trend reversal caution
Cross Signals (● marks, positioned up/down)
Green ● (bottom): Histogram crosses above VWAP
Red ● (top): Histogram crosses below VWAP
🚀 Practical Usage
Scalping Strategy (1-5 minute charts recommended)
Entry: Enter on green ● or red ● signals
Take Profit: At opposite zone or next ● signal
Stop Loss: Around 10-15 pips (for gold)
Time Session: London-NY overlap optimal
Swing Trading Strategy (15min-1hour charts)
Entry: Strong ▲▼ signals
Take Profit: Opposite warning signals (▼△)
Stop Loss: VWAP reverse break or 30-50 pips
Day Trading Strategy (5-15 minute charts)
Trend Confirmation: Histogram color
Entry: △▽ signals
Take Profit: Opposite zone reached
Stop Loss: 20-30 pips
⚡ XAU/USD Specific Usage
Session-Based Strategy
Tokyo Session (9-15 JST): Wait and see, small scalps
London Session (16-24 JST): Main trading
NY Session (22-6 JST): Most active, all signals valid
Major News Events
Pre-announcement: Reduce positions
Post-announcement: Trend following with ● signals
🔍 Filter Functions
ATR Filter
Small price movements filtered as noise
Signals only on significant price moves
Time Filter
Strong signals only during high volatility sessions
Weaker signals during low volatility periods
Consecutive Signal Prevention
Duplicate signals within 2 bars filtered out
Prevents noise trading
⚙️ Settings Customization
For Aggressive Trading
Signal Cooldown: 1 # More frequent signals
ATR Length: 5 # More sensitive filter
For Conservative Trading
Signal Cooldown: 5 # Relaxed signals
ATR Length: 20 # Stricter filter
Overbought: 80 # More extreme levels
Oversold: 20
📱 Recommended Alert Settings
Strong Buy/Sell Signal: Priority ★★★
Scalping Buy/Sell Signal: Priority ★★☆
Reverse Warning: Priority ★★★ (for position management)
⚠️ Important Notes
Scalping requires quick decision-making
Multiple timeframe confirmation recommended
Exercise caution during major news events
Risk management is top priority
This indicator is a versatile multi-functional tool suitable for short to medium-term trading strategies!
🎓 Trading Examples
Scalping Example
Wait for green ● at oversold level (below 30)
Enter long position immediately
Target: 50 level or red ● signal
Stop: Below recent swing low
Day Trading Example
Histogram turns green (bullish trend)
Wait for △ buy signal near support
Target: Overbought level (75)
Exit: Warning signal ▼ appears
Risk Management Rules
Never risk more than 2% per trade
Use proper position sizing
Set stops before entry
Take partial profits at key levels
This comprehensive guide will help you maximize the potential of this advanced multi-timeframe indicator!
